Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
UPDATED: July 22, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: To be announced.
AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
Kirsten Dunst
"The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
–DIRECTOR: Jane Campion
SYNOPSIS: Charismatic rancher Phil Burbank inspires fear and awe in those around him. When his brother brings home a new wife and her son, Phil torments them until he finds himself exposed to the possibility of love.
STARRING: Benedict Cumberbatch, Kirsten Dunst, Jesse Plemons, Thomasin McKenzie, Kodi Smit-McPhee
Ann Dowd
"Mass" (Bleecker Street)
–DIRECTOR: Fran Kranz
SYNOPSIS: Aftermath of a violent tragedy that affects the lives of two couples in different ways.
STARRING: Jason Isaacs, Martha Plimpton, Ann Dowd, Reed Birney
Nina Arianda
"Being the Ricardos" (Amazon Studios)
–DIRECTOR: Aaron Sorkin
SYNOPSIS: Follows Lucy and Desi as they face a crisis that could end their careers and another that could end their marriage.
STARRING: Javier Bardem, Nicole Kidman, J.K. Simmons, Nina Arianda, Alia Shawkat, Jake Lacy, Clark Gregg, Tony Hale
Olga Merediz
"In the Heights" (Warner Bros)
–DIRECTOR: Jon M. Chu
SYNOPSIS: A film version of the Broadway musical in which Usnavi, a sympathetic New York bodega owner, saves every penny every day as he imagines and sings about a better life.
STARRING: Anthony Ramos, Corey Hawkins, Leslie Grace, Melissa Barrera, Olga Merediz, Daphne Rubin-Vega, Gregory Diaz IV, Jimmy Smits
Ariana DeBose
"West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)
–DIRECTOR: Steven Spielberg
SYNOPSIS: An adaptation of the 1957 musical, West Side Story explores forbidden love and the rivalry between the Jets and the Sharks, two teenage street gangs of different ethnic backgrounds.
STARRING: Ansel Elgort, Rachel Zegler, Ariana DeBose, David Alvarez, Mike Faist, Josh Andrés Rivera, Ana Isabelle, Corey Stoll, Brian d'Arcy James, Rita Moreno
NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:
Alicia Vikander
"Blue Bayou" (Focus Features)
††
–DIRECTOR: Justin Chon
SYNOPSIS: As a Korean-American man raised in the Louisiana bayou works hard to make a life for his family, he must confront the ghosts of his past as he discovers that he could be deported from the only country he has ever called home.
STARRING: Justin Chon, Alicia Vikander, Mark O'Brien, Emory Cohen
Ruth Negga
"Passing" (Netflix)
†
–DIRECTOR: Rebecca Hall
SYNOPSIS: "Passing" follows the unexpected reunion of two high school friends, whose renewed acquaintance ignites a mutual obsession that threatens both of their carefully constructed realities.
STARRING: Tessa Thompson, Ruth Negga, André Holland, Alexander Skarsgård, Bill Camp
Martha Plimpton
"Mass" (Bleecker Street)
–DIRECTOR: Fran Kranz
SYNOPSIS: Aftermath of a violent tragedy that affects the lives of two couples in different ways.
STARRING: Jason Isaacs, Martha Plimpton, Ann Dowd, Reed Birney
Caitriona Balfe
"Belfast" (Focus Features)
††
–DIRECTOR: Kenneth Branagh
SYNOPSIS: A young boy and his working class family experience the tumultuous late 1960s.
STARRING: Judi Dench, Caitriona Balfe, Jamie Dornan, Ciarán Hinds, Jude Hill
Regina King
"The Harder They Fall" (Netflix)
††
–DIRECTOR: Jeymes Samuel
SYNOPSIS: When an outlaw discovers his enemy is being released from prison, he reunites his gang to seek revenge in this Western.
STARRING: Jonathan Majors, Idris Elba, Lakeith Stanfield, Regina King, Delroy Lindo, Zazie Beetz, RJ Cyler
TOP-TIER AWARDS CONTENDERS:
Vanessa Hudgens
"Tick, Tick...Boom!" (Netflix)
–DIRECTOR: Lin-Manuel Miranda
SYNOPSIS: The story of Jon, an aspiring theater composer who is waiting tables in New York City while writing Superbia - which he hopes will be the next great American musical and finally give him his big break.
STARRING: Andrew Garfield, Bradley Whitford, Vanessa Hudgens, Alexandra Shipp, Judith Light, Joanna Adler, Noah Robbins, Robin de Jesus, Joshua Henry
Amy Adams
"Dear Evan Hansen" (Universal Pictures)
–DIRECTOR: Stephen Chobsky
SYNOPSIS: Film adaptation of the Tony and Grammy Award-winning musical about Evan Hansen, a high school senior with Social Anxiety disorder and his journey of self-discovery and acceptance following the suicide of a fellow classmate.
STARRING: Ben Platt, Kaitlyn Dever, Amandla Stenberg, Nik Dodani, Colton Ryan, Danny Pino, Julianne Moore, Amy Adams
Toni Collette
"Nightmare Alley" (Searchlight Pictures)
–DIRECTOR: Guillermo del Toro
SYNOPSIS: An ambitious carny with a talent for manipulating people with a few well-chosen words hooks up with a female psychiatrist who is even more dangerous than he is.
STARRING: Bradley Cooper, Rooney Mara, Cate Blanchett, Toni Collette, David Strathairn, Willem Dafoe, Ron Perlman, Mary Steenburgen, Holt McCallany, Clifton Collins Jr, Richard Jenkins, Tim Blake Nelson
Claire Foy
"The Electrical Life of Louis Wain" (Amazon Studios)
–DIRECTOR: Will Sharpe
SYNOPSIS: English artist Louis Wain rises to prominence at the end of the 19th century for his surreal cat paintings.
STARRING: Benedict Cumberbatch, Claire Foy, Andrea Riseborough, Toby Jones, Sharon Rooney
- Marlee Matlin
"CODA" (Apple TV Plus)
–DIRECTOR: Sian Heder
SYNOPSIS: As a CODA (Child of Deaf Adults) Ruby is the only hearing person in her deaf family. When the family's fishing business is threatened, Ruby finds herself torn between pursuing her love of music and her fear of abandoning her parents.
STARRING: Emilia Jones, Troy Kotsur, Daniel Durant, Marlee Matlin, John Fiore, Eugenio Derbez, Ferdia Walsh-Peelo, Amy Forsyth, Kevin Chapman
Chanté Adams
"A Journal for Jordan" (Sony Pictures)
–DIRECTOR: Denzel Washington
SYNOPSIS: 1st Sgt. Charles Monroe King, before he is killed in action in Baghdad, authors a journal for his son intended to tell him how to live a decent life despite growing up without a father.
STARRING: Michael B. Jordan, Chanté Adams
Lily Rabe
"The Tender Bar" (Amazon Studios)
††
–DIRECTOR: George Clooney
SYNOPSIS: A boy growing up on Long Island seeks out father figures among the patrons at his uncle's bar.
STARRING: Ben Affleck, Tye Sheridan, Lily Rabe, Christopher Lloyd, Sondra James, Max Martini, Michael Braun, Matthew Delamater, Max Casella, Rhenzy Feliz, Ivan Leung, Briana Middleton, Daniel Ranieri
Cate Blanchett
"Nightmare Alley" (Searchlight Pictures)
–DIRECTOR: Guillermo del Toro
SYNOPSIS: An ambitious carny with a talent for manipulating people with a few well-chosen words hooks up with a female psychiatrist who is even more dangerous than he is.
STARRING: Bradley Cooper, Rooney Mara, Cate Blanchett, Toni Collette, David Strathairn, Willem Dafoe, Ron Perlman, Mary Steenburgen, Holt McCallany, Clifton Collins Jr, Richard Jenkins, Tim Blake Nelson
Cate Blanchett
"Don't Look Up" (Netflix)
†
–DIRECTOR: Adam McKay
SYNOPSIS: The story of two low-level astronomers, who must go on a giant media tour to warn mankind of an approaching comet that will destroy planet earth.
STARRING: Leonardo DiCaprio, Jennifer Lawrence, Cate Blanchett, Rob Morgan, Meryl Streep, Jonah Hill, Timothée Chalamet, Ariana Grande, Himesh Patel, Matthew Perry, Tyler Perry, Ron Perlman, Chris Evans, Mark Rylance, Michael Chiklis
Meryl Streep
"Don't Look Up" (Netflix)
†
–DIRECTOR: Adam McKay
SYNOPSIS: The story of two low-level astronomers, who must go on a giant media tour to warn mankind of an approaching comet that will destroy planet earth.
STARRING: Leonardo DiCaprio, Jennifer Lawrence, Cate Blanchett, Rob Morgan, Meryl Streep, Jonah Hill, Timothée Chalamet, Ariana Grande, Himesh Patel, Matthew Perry, Tyler Perry, Ron Perlman, Chris Evans, Mark Rylance, Michael Chiklis
ALSO IN CONTENTION:
Aunjanue Ellis
"King Richard" (Warner Bros)
–DIRECTOR: Reinaldo Marcus Green
SYNOPSIS: A look at how tennis superstars Venus and Serena Williams became who they are after the coaching from their father Richard Williams.
STARRING: Will Smith, Aunjanue Ellis, Jon Bernthal, Saniyya Sidney, Demi Singleton, Tony Goldwyn, Dylan McDermott
Linh Dan Pham
"Blue Bayou" (Focus Features)
–DIRECTOR: Justin Chon
SYNOPSIS: As a Korean-American man raised in the Louisiana bayou works hard to make a life for his family, he must confront the ghosts of his past as he discovers that he could be deported from the only country he has ever called home.
STARRING: Justin Chon, Alicia Vikander, Mark O'Brien, Emory Cohen
Emma Thompson
"Cruella" (Disney Plus)
–DIRECTOR: Craig Gillespie
SYNOPSIS: A live-action prequel feature film following a young Cruella de Vil.
STARRING: Emma Stone, Emma Thompson, Joel Fry, Paul Walter Hauser, Emily Beecham, Kirby Howell-Baptiste, Mark Strong
Polly Draper
"Shiva Baby" (Utopia)
–DIRECTOR: Emma Seligman
SYNOPSIS: At a Jewish funeral service with her parents, a college student runs into her sugar daddy.
STARRING: Rachel Sennott, Molly Gordon, Polly Draper, Danny Deferrari, Fred Melamed, Dianna Agron
Julianne Nicholson
"Blonde" (Netflix)
†
–DIRECTOR: Andrew Dominik
SYNOPSIS: A fictionalized chronicle of the inner life of Marilyn Monroe.STARRING: Ana de Armas, Adrien Brody, Bobby Cannavale, Julianne Nicholson
Salma Hayek
"House of Gucci" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
–DIRECTOR: Ridley Scott
SYNOPSIS: The story of how Patrizia Reggiani, the ex-wife of Maurizio Gucci, plotted to kill her husband, the grandson of renowned fashion designer Guccio Gucci.
STARRING: Lady Gaga, Adam Driver, Al Pacino, Salma Hayek, Jared Leto, Jack Huston, Jeremy Irons
Florence Pugh
"Black Widow" (Marvel Studios)
–DIRECTOR: Cate Shortland
SYNOPSIS: A film about Natasha Romanoff in her quests between the films Civil War and Infinity War.
STARRING: Scarlett Johansson, Florence Pugh, David Harbour, O-T Fagbenle, Olga Kurylenko, William Hurt, Ray Winstone, Rachel Weisz
Alana Haim
"Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
†
–DIRECTOR: Paul Thomas Anderson
SYNOPSIS: Set in 1970s San Fernando Valley, the film follows a high school student, who is also a successful child actor.
STARRING: Bradley Cooper, Cooper Hoffman, Alana Haim, Skyler Gisondo, Benny Safdie
Olivia Colman
"Mothering Sunday" (Sony Pictures Classics)
†/††
–DIRECTOR: Eva Husson
SYNOPSIS: A maid living in post-World War I England secretly plans to meet with the man she loves before he leaves to marry another woman.
STARRING: Odessa Young, Josh O'Connor, Olivia Colman, Colin Firth, Sope Dirisu, Glenda Jackson
Jodie Comer
"The Last Duel" (20th Century Studios)
††
–DIRECTOR: Ridley Scott
SYNOPSIS: King Charles VI declares that Knight Jean de Carrouges settle his dispute with his squire by challenging him to a duel.
STARRING: Matt Damon, Adam Driver, Jodie Comer, Ben Affleck
MORE AWARDS CONTENDERS:
Leslie Grace
"In the Heights" (Warner Bros)
–DIRECTOR: Jon M. Chu
SYNOPSIS: A film version of the Broadway musical in which Usnavi, a sympathetic New York bodega owner, saves every penny every day as he imagines and sings about a better life.
STARRING: Anthony Ramos, Corey Hawkins, Leslie Grace, Melissa Barrera, Olga Merediz, Daphne Rubin-Vega, Gregory Diaz IV, Jimmy Smits
Zazie Beetz
"Nine Days" (Sony Pictures Classics)
–DIRECTOR: Edson Oda
SYNOPSIS: A reclusive man conducts a series of interviews with human souls for a chance to be born.
STARRING: Winston Duke, Zazie Beetz, Benedict Wong
Gaby Hoffman
"C'mon C'mon" (A24)
–DIRECTOR: Mike Mills
SYNOPSIS: An artist embarks on a a cross-country trip with his young nephew.STARRING: Joaquin Phoenix, Gaby Hoffmann, Woody Norman, Jaboukie Young-White
Riley Keough
"Zola" (A24)
–DIRECTOR: Janicza Bravo
SYNOPSIS: A stripper named Zola embarks on a wild road trip to Florida.
STARRING: Taylour Paige, Riley Keough, Nicholas Braun, Ari'el Stachel, Colman Domingo
Sally Hawkins
"Spencer" (Neon)
†
–DIRECTOR: Pablo Larraín
SYNOPSIS: During her Christmas holidays with the royal family at the Sandringham estate in Norfolk, England, Diana decides to leave her marriage to Prince Charles.
STARRING: Kristen Stewart, Timothy Spall, Sally Hawkins, Sean Harris, Jack Farthing
Rebecca Ferguson
"Dune" (Warner Bros)
–DIRECTOR: Denis Villeneuve
SYNOPSIS: Feature adaptation of Frank Herbert's science fiction novel, about the son of a noble family entrusted with the protection of the most valuable asset and most vital element in the galaxy.
STARRING: Timothée Chalamet, Rebecca Ferguson, Oscar Isaac, Josh Brolin, Stellan Skarsgård, Dave Bautista, Stephen McKinley Henderson, Zendaya, David Dastmalchian, Chang Chen, Sharon Duncan-Brewster, Charlotte Rampling, Jason Momoa, Javier Bardem
Anna Paquin
"American Underdog" (Lionsgate)
–DIRECTOR: Andrew Erwin, Jon Erwin
SYNOPSIS: The story of NFL MVP and Hall of Fame quarterback, Kurt Warner, who went from stocking shelves at a supermarket to becoming an American Football star.
STARRING: Zachary Levi, Anna Paquin, Ser'Darius Blain, Adam Baldwin, Bruce McGill, Dennis Quaid
Naomie Harris
"Swan Song" (Apple TV Plus)
–DIRECTOR: Benjamin Cleary
SYNOPSIS: When a loving husband and father is diagnosed with a terminal illness, he's presented with a controversial alternative solution to replace himself with a carbon copy clone.
STARRING: Mahershala Ali, Naomie Harris, Glenn Close, Awkwafina, Adam Beach
Michelle Yeoh
"Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings" (Marvel Studios)
–DIRECTOR: Destin Daniel Cretton
SYNOPSIS: Shang-Chi, the master of unarmed weaponry based Kung Fu, is forced to confront his past after being drawn into the Ten Rings organization.
STARRING: Simu Liu, Awkwafina, Tony Leung, Michelle Yeoh, Fala Chen, Meng'er Zhang, Florian Munteanu, Ronny Chieng
Cherry Jones
"The Eyes of Tammy Faye" (Searchlight Pictures)
–DIRECTOR: Michael Showalter
SYNOPSIS: An intimate look at the extraordinary rise, fall and redemption of televangelist Tammy Faye Bakker.
STARRING: Jessica Chastain, Andrew Garfield, Cherry Jones, Vincent D'Onofrio
† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in the lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS (UNRANKED):
Coming soon…
AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Best Supporting Actress)
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded films in Oscar history are “Ben-Hur,” “Titanic” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” at 11 statuettes. The most nominated films in Academy history are “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” at 14. “La La Land” is the only film of the three to have lost best picture. The biggest Oscar “losers,” meaning most nominated and walk away with zero awards, are 1977’s “The Turning Point” and 1985’s “The Color Purple” at 11 each. Only two women have won this category, Dianne Wiest and Shelly Winters. Thelma Ritter has the most nominations at six, while Amy Adams is second with five. The oldest winner ever is Peggy Ashcroft (“A Passage to India”) at 77, while the oldest nominee is Gloria Stuart (“Titanic”) at 87. Tatum O’Neal (“Paper Moon”) is both the youngest nominee and winner in history at 10.
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor
- Best Actress
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Best Animated Feature
- Best Production Design
- Best Cinematography
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Sound
- Best Visual Effects
- Best Original Score
- Best Original Song
- Best Documentary Feature
- Best International Feature
- Best Animated Short
- Best Documentary Short
- Best Live-Action Short
2021 Oscars predictions are here.
About the Academy Awards (Oscars)
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
- The date for the 94th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 27, 2022