Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUBRevisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVELink to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB
2022 SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS PREDICTIONS:
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
UPDATED: Nov 25, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: More to come…
Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.
Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
Belfast
Rob Youngson / Focus Features
| AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RANK | ACTOR | FILM | ROLE | STUDIO |
| 1 | Caitríona Balfe | “Belfast” | Ma | Focus Features |
| 2 | Kirsten Dunst | “The Power of the Dog” | Rose Gordon | Netflix |
| 3 | Aunjanue Ellis | “King Richard” | Brandi Williams | Warner Bros |
| 4 | Judi Dench | “Belfast” | Granny | Focus Features |
| 5 | Ruth Negga | “Passing” | Clare Bellew | Netflix |
| NEXT IN LINE | ||||
| 6 | Marlee Matlin | “CODA” | Jackie Rossi | Apple Original Films |
| 7 | Jessie Buckley | “The Lost Daughter” | Leda Caruso | Netflix |
| 8 | Nina Arianda | “Being the Ricardos” | Vivian Vance | Amazon Studios |
| 9 | Meryl Streep | “Don’t Look Up” | President Janie Orlean | Netflix |
| 10 | Cate Blanchett | “Nightmare Alley” | Dr. Lilith Ritter | Searchlight Pictures |
| OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS | ||||
| 11 | Ann Dowd | “Mass” | Linda | Bleecker Street |
| 12 | Ariana DeBose | “West Side Story” | Anita | 20th Century Studios |
| 13 | Dakota Johnson | “The Lost Daughter” | Nina | Netflix |
| 14 | Regina King | “The Harder They Fall” | Trudy Smith | Netflix |
| 15 | Haley Bennett | “Cyrano” | Roxanne | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| 16 | Olga Merediz | “In the Heights” | Abuela | Warner Bros |
| 17 | Gaby Hoffmann | “C’mon C’mon” | Viv | A24 |
| 18 | Saniyya Sidney | “King Richard” | Venus Williams | Warner Bros |
| 19 | Emily Blunt | “A Quiet Place Part II” | Evelyn Abbott | Paramount Pictures |
| 20 | Rebecca Ferguson | “Dune” | Lady Jessica | Warner Bros |
| UNRANKED CONTENDERS | ||||
| — | Abigail Breslin | “Stillwater” | Focus Features | |
| — | Alexandra Shipp | “Tick, Tick … Boom!” | Netflix | |
| — | Alicia Vikander | “Blue Bayou” | Focus Features | |
| — | Alicia Vikander | “The Green Knight” | A24 | |
| — | Anya Taylor-Joy | “Last Night in Soho” | Focus Features | |
| — | Ariana Grande | “Don’t Look Up” | Netflix | |
| — | Audra McDonald | “Respect” | MGM/United Artists Releasing | |
| — | Awkwafina | “Swan Song” | Apple Original Films | |
| — | Bree Elrod | “Red Rocket” | A24 | |
| — | Briana Middleton | “The Tender Bar” | Amazon Studios | |
| — | Camille Cottin | “Stillwater” | Focus Features | |
| — | Cate Blanchett | “Don’t Look Up” | Netflix | |
| — | Charlotte Rampling | “Benedetta” | IFC Films | |
| — | Cherry Jones | “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” | Rachel LaValley | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | Emma Thompson | “Cruella” | The Baroness | Walt Disney Pictures |
| — | Florence Pugh | “Black Widow” | Marvel Studios | |
| — | Frances McDormand | “The French Dispatch” | Searchlight Pictures | |
| — | Jayne Houdyshell | “The Humans” | A24/Showtime | |
| — | Jodie Comer | “Free Guy” | 20th Century Studios | |
| — | Kathryn Hunter | “The Tragedy of Macbeth” | Apple Original Films/A24 | |
| — | Leslie Grace | “In the Heights” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Linh Dan Pham | “Blue Bayou” | Focus Features | |
| — | Martha Plimpton | “Mass” | Gail Perry | Bleecker Street |
| — | Melissa Barrera | “In the Heights” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Milena Smit | “Parallel Mothers” | Sony Pictures Classics | |
| — | Millicent Simmonds | “A Quiet Place Part II” | Paramount Pictures | |
| — | Molly Parker | “Jockey” | Ruth Wilkes | Sony Pictures Classics |
| — | Moses Ingram | “The Tragedy of Macbeth” | Apple Original Films/A24 | |
| — | Naomie Harris | “Swan Song” | Poppy Turner | Apple Original Films |
| — | Octavia Spencer | “Encounter” | Amazon Studios | |
| — | Polly Draper | “Shiva Baby” | Debbie | Utopia |
| — | Rachel Weisz | “Black Widow” | Marvel Studios | |
| — | Riley Keough | “Zola” | A24 | |
| — | Rita Moreno | “West Side Story” | 20th Century Studios | |
| — | Sally Hawkins | “Spencer” | Maggie | Neon/Topic Studios |
| — | Salma Hayek Pinaul | “House of Gucci” | MGM/United Artists Releasing | |
| — | Suzanna Son | “Red Rocket” | Strawberry | A24 |
| — | Teresa Saponagelo | “The Hand of God” | Netflix | |
| — | Tiffany Haddish | “The Card Counter” | Focus Features | |
| — | Toni Collette | “Nightmare Alley” | Zeena Krumbein | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | Vanessa Hudgens | “Tick, Tick … Boom!” | Netflix | |
| — | Viola Davis | “The Suicide Squad” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Zazie Beetz | “Nine Days” | Emma | Sony Pictures Classics |
| — | Zendaya | “Dune” | Warner Bros | |
2022 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
2021 Oscars predictions are here.
About the SAG Awards
The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most important and key indicators for the Oscars. Four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”
- The 28th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards®, presented by SAG-AFTRA with Screen Actors Guild Awards, LLC will be simulcast live on TNT and TBS on Sunday, Feb. 27, 2022, at 8 PM ET / 5 PM.