Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUBRevisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVELink to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB
2022 SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS PREDICTIONS:
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
UPDATED: Nov 25, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: More to come…
Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.
Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
TICK, TICK…BOOM! Andrew Garfield as Jonathan Larson, in TICK, TICK…BOOM! Photo Credit: Macall Polay/NETFLIX ©2021
Courtesy of Macall Polay/NETFLIX
| AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RANK | ACTOR | FILM | ROLE | STUDIO |
| 1 | Will Smith | “King Richard” | Richard Williams | Warner Bros |
| 2 | Andrew Garfield | “Tick, Tick … Boom!” | Jonathan Larson | Netflix |
| 3 | Benedict Cumberbatch | “The Power of the Dog” | Phil Burbank | Netflix |
| 4 | Denzel Washington | “The Tragedy of Macbeth” | Lord Macbeth | Apple Original Films/A24 |
| 5 | Peter Dinklage | “Cyrano” | Cyrano de Bergerac | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| NEXT IN LINE | ||||
| 6 | Leonardo DiCaprio | “Don’t Look Up” | Dr. Randall Mindy | Netflix |
| 7 | Clifton Collins, Jr. | “Jockey” | Jackson Silva | Sony Pictures Classics |
| 8 | Joaquin Phoenix | “C’mon C’mon” | Johnny | A24 |
| 9 | Oscar Isaac | “The Card Counter” | William “Tell” Tillich | Focus Features |
| 10 | Simon Rex | “Red Rocket” | Mikey Saber | A24 |
| OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS | ||||
| 11 | Javier Bardem | “Being the Ricardos” | Desi Arnaz | Amazon Studios |
| 12 | Mahershala Ali | “Swan Song” | Cameron Turner | Apple Original Films |
| 13 | Adam Driver | “House of Gucci” | Maurizio Gucci | MGM/United Artists Releading |
| 14 | Jude Hill | “Belfast” | Buddy | Focus Features |
| 15 | Bradley Cooper | “Nightmare Alley” | Stanton “Stan” Carlisle | Searchlight Pictures |
| 16 | Matt Damon | “Stillwater” | Bill Baker | Focus Features |
| 17 | Jake Gyllenhaal | “The Guilty” | Joe Baylor | Netflix |
| 18 | Nicolas Cage | “Pig” | Robin “Rob” Feld | Neon |
| 19 | Riz Ahmed | “Encounter” | Malik Khan | Amazon Studios |
| 20 | Cooper Hoffman | “Licorice Pizza” | Gary Valentine | MGM/United Artists Releading |
| UNRANKED LISTING | ||||
| — | Adam Driver | “Annette” | ||
| — | Adam Driver | “The Last Duel” | ||
| — | Alessandro Nivola | “The Many Saints of Newark” | ||
| — | Amir Jadidi | “A Hero” | ||
| — | Ansel Elgort | “West Side Story” | ||
| — | Anthony Ramos | “In the Heights” | ||
| — | Benedict Cumberbatch | “The Electrical Life of Louis Wain” | ||
| — | Clint Eastwood | “Cry Macho” | ||
| — | Daniel Craig | “No Time to Die” | ||
| — | Dev Patel | “The Green Knight” | ||
| — | Don Cheadle | “No Sudden Move” | ||
| — | Eddie Murphy | “Coming 2 America” | ||
| — | Eric Bana | “The Dry” | ||
| — | Filippo Scotti | “The Hand of God” | ||
| — | Harvey Keitel | “Lansky” | ||
| — | Jonathan Majors | “The Harder They Fall” | ||
| — | Justin Chon | “Blue Bayou” | ||
| — | Matt Damon | “The Last Duel” | ||
| — | Michael B. Jordan | “A Journal for Jordan” | ||
| — | Michael Keaton | “Worth” | ||
| — | Tim Blake Nelson | “Old Henry” | ||
| — | Tim Roth | “Bergman Island” | ||
| — | Timothée Chalamet | “Dune” | ||
| — | Tom Hanks | “Finch” | ||
| — | Udo Kier | “Swan Song” | ||
| — | Winston Duke | “Nine Days” | ||
2022 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
2021 Oscars predictions are here.
About the SAG Awards
The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most important and key indicators for the Oscars. Four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”
- The 28th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards®, presented by SAG-AFTRA with Screen Actors Guild Awards, LLC will be simulcast live on TNT and TBS on Sunday, Feb. 27, 2022, at 8 PM ET / 5 PM.