Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUBTo see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVESFor film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB
UPDATED: August 4, 2022
2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:
Pilot episodes are typical favorites here seen with past winners like “Hacks” last year. That puts the first episode of “Only Murders in the Building” in the thick of the race and also serves as a way to have Steve Martin on stage if they can’t pull the trigger in the lead actor comedy category.
Triple nominated, this could be the best place to reward Quinta Brunson, similar to Michaela Coel’s win last year for “I May Destroy You.” Brunson would also be the third Black person, and second Black woman, to win writing comedy after Larry Wilmore (“The Bernie Mac Show”) and Lena Waithe (“Master of None”).
The episode “710N” from “Barry” is also nominated for directing, and it’s one of the few spots that “Barry” is competitive outside of lead actor comedy for Hader. The episode “starting now” is another Hader special, and is also in the mix. However, in a race this close, a potential vote split could provide a significant disadvantage.
Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub.
Last year’s winners for “Hacks” are back, and if the HBO Max series is actively making a play to win the top series race, this will be an essential pickup in the evening. This race could be the indicator of which show will be winning comedy.
“Ted Lasso” lost this race last year, and the Apple series is back for another swing at the bat. Interestingly, this seems like its hardest win to attain this year, given the competition but stranger things have happened.
Not one for but two jaw-droppers for the FX vampire comedy “What We Do in the Shadows.” However, despite the comedy series nom, it looks likely to sit out victories in all of its nominations. Previous nominee Robinson is now the most nominated Black woman in the category’s history, after becoming the first to be double nominated a few years ago. Let her reign continue.
The complete television awards season calendar is linked here.
Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Oscars Predictions Hub
The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.
2021 category winner: Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs and Jen Statsky for the episode “There Is No Line” from “Hacks” (HBO Max)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
ABBOTT ELEMENTARY – Key Art. (ABC)
ABC
| And The Nominees Are: | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Show | Network | Writer(s) |
| 1 | “Abbott Elementary” | ABC | Quinta Brunson |
| Episode: “Pilot” | |||
| 2 | “Only Murders in the Building” | Hulu | Steve Martin, John Hoffman |
| Episode: “True Crime” | |||
| 3 | “Hacks” | HBO Max | Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, Jen Statsky |
| Episode: “The One, the Only” | |||
| 4 | “Barry” | HBO | Duffy Boudreau |
| Episode: “710N” | |||
| 5 | “Ted Lasso” | Apple TV+ | Jane Becker |
| Episode: “No Weddings and a Funeral” | |||
| 6 | “Barry” | HBO | Alec Berg, Bill Hader |
| Episode: “starting now” | |||
| 7 | “What We Do in the Shadows” | FX | Stefani Robinson |
| Episode: “The Wellness Center” | |||
| 8 | “What We Do in the Shadows” | FX | Sarah Naftalis |
| Episode: “The Casino” | |||
2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions
2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions
About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.
- The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.