Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: May 1, 2023
2023 Tony Predictions:
Best Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle and J Harrison Ghee in “Some Like It Hot” on Broadway
Marc J. Franklin
Weekly Commentary: For lead actor in a musical, look for Ben Platt to earn a nom for his sympathetic performance in “Parade,” and nonbinary actor J. Harrison Ghee, who seems certain to win notice for their nuanced take on that show’s most challenging role. Josh Groban stands poised to score a nod for his powerhouse vocals in “Sweeney Todd” and Colton Ryan in “New York, New York” has gained awards momentum in this week’s lineup of pre-Tony nominations from other organizations.
The fifth spot feels like it could go in any direction, with potential nominees including Will Swenson, who ably anchors the Neil Diamond bio “A Beautiful Noise,” and Andrew Burnap, the Tony winner for “The Inheritance” who plays a youthful King Arthur in “Camelot.”
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Tony Awards predictions in all categories.
The Tony Awards eligibility cutoff date for the 2022–23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. The 2023 Tony Awards nominations will be announced on May 2, 2023.
The 76th Annual Tony Awards are scheduled for June 11, 2023, at the United Palace in New York City. It will air on CBS and Paramount+ and be produced by Ricky Kirshner and Glenn Weiss, with the latter also serving as the director.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Andrew Burnap — “Camelot” (Vivian Beaumont Theater – Lincoln Center Theater)
- Christian Borle — “Some Like It Hot” (Shubert Theatre)
- Casey Likes — “Almost Famous” (Bernard B. Jacobs Theatre)
All Eligible Shows and Performances (Unranked)
Tony Awards Predictions Categories
BEST MUSICAL | BEST PLAY | MUSICAL REVIVAL | PLAY REVIVAL | ACTOR (MUSICAL) | ACTOR (PLAY) | ACTRESS (MUSICAL) | ACTRESS (PLAY) | FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL) | FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY) | FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL) | FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY) | DIRECTOR (MUSICAL) | DIRECTOR (PLAY) | ORIGINAL SCORE | MUSICAL BOOK | CHOREOGRAPHY
About the Tony Awards
The Antoinette Perry Award for Excellence in Broadway Theatre, better known as the Tony Awards, is given out annually by the American Theatre Wing and The Broadway League, recognizing excellence in live Broadway theatre. The ceremony, held annually in New York City, was founded by theatre producer and director Brock Pemberton and is named after Antoinette “Tony” Perry, an actress, producer and theatre director who was co-founder of the American Theatre Wing.