Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: May 1, 2023
2023 Tony Predictions:
Best Actress in a Musical
Ahron R. Foster
Weekly Commentary: The race for leading actress in a musical looks sure to include two previous Tony winners, Victoria Clark (“Kimberly Akimbo”) and Annaleigh Ashford (“Sweeney Todd”), giving much-admired performances. Certain to join them is Micaela Diamond, whose performance in “Parade” has been lauded for bringing new depth to the role of the loyal wife.
Beyond those three, there are a handful of performers who could score a spot in the category. Among the strongest possibilities are Sara Bareilles, whose turn as the Baker’s Wife in “Into the Woods” was well-received by audiences and critics alike, and Anna Uzele, the “Six” alumna whose performance of the title song in “New York, New York” brings the audience to its feet.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Tony Awards predictions in all categories.
The Tony Awards eligibility cutoff date for the 2022–23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. The 2023 Tony Awards nominations will be announced on May 2, 2023.
The 76th Annual Tony Awards are scheduled for June 11, 2023, at the United Palace in New York City. It will air on CBS and Paramount+ and be produced by Ricky Kirshner and Glenn Weiss, with the latter also serving as the director.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Patina Miller — “Into the Woods” (St. James Theatre)
- Caroline Innerbischler — “Shucked” (Nederlander Theatre)
- Phillipa Soo — “Camelot” (Vivian Beaumont Theater – Lincoln Center Theater)
All Eligible Shows and Performances (Unranked)
- Crystal Lucas-Perry — “1776” (American Airlines Theatre)
- Lorna Courtney — “& Juliet” (Stephen Sondheim Theatre)
- Linedy Genao — “Bad Cinderella” (Imperial Theatre)
- Phillipa Soo — “Camelot” (Vivian Beaumont Theater – Lincoln Center Theater)
- Sara Bareilles — “Into the Woods” (St. James Theatre)
- Patina Miller — “Into the Woods” (St. James Theatre)
- Luna — “KPOP” (Circle in the Square Theatre)
- Victoria Clark — “Kimberly Akimbo” (Booth Theatre)
- Anna Uzele — “New York, New York” (St. James Theatre)
- Micaela Diamond — “Parade” (Bernard B. Jacobs Theatre)
- Caroline Innerbischler — “Shucked” (Nederlander Theatre)
- Adrianna Hicks — “Some Like It Hot” (Shubert Theatre)
- Annaleigh Ashford — “Sweeney Todd” (Lunt-Fontanne Theatre)
Tony Awards Predictions Categories
BEST MUSICAL | BEST PLAY | MUSICAL REVIVAL | PLAY REVIVAL | ACTOR (MUSICAL) | ACTOR (PLAY) | ACTRESS (MUSICAL) | ACTRESS (PLAY) | FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL) | FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY) | FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL) | FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY) | DIRECTOR (MUSICAL) | DIRECTOR (PLAY) | ORIGINAL SCORE | MUSICAL BOOK | CHOREOGRAPHY
About the Tony Awards
The Antoinette Perry Award for Excellence in Broadway Theatre, better known as the Tony Awards, is given out annually by the American Theatre Wing and The Broadway League, recognizing excellence in live Broadway theatre. The ceremony, held annually in New York City, was founded by theatre producer and director Brock Pemberton and is named after Antoinette “Tony” Perry, an actress, producer and theatre director who was co-founder of the American Theatre Wing.