Global box office revenues are expected to rebound to $33 billion in 2025, marking an 8% increase from 2024’s estimated $30.5 billion take, according to Gower Street Analytics‘ latest forecast.
The North American market is set to generate approximately $9.7 billion, up 9% from 2024, while international territories (excluding China) are projected to deliver $16.8 billion, representing a 7% year-over-year gain. China is conservatively estimated to contribute $6.6 billion.
The forecast sees EMEA (Europe, the Middle East and Africa) delivering $9.1 billion, Asia Pacific (excluding China) generating $5.3 billion, and Latin America contributing $2.4 billion to the international total.
“2025 is set to be a strong year for the global box office, fuelled by robust studio slates and independent productions,” Gower Street Analytics CEO Dimitrios Mitsinikos said.
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The projected figures still trail pre-pandemic levels, landing 14% below the 2017-2019 average at historic exchange rates. However, when calculated using current exchange rates, 2025’s forecast sits 1% ahead of 2023’s performance.
Key franchise installments driving the 2025 slate include new entries in the “Avatar,” Marvel Cinematic Universe, “Mission: Impossible,” “Jurassic World,” “John Wick” and “Conjuring” series. James Gunn’s “Superman” will launch DC’s new universe, while Disney’s “Zootopia” sequel aims to replicate its predecessor’s billion-dollar success.
Rob Mitchell, Gower Street’s director of theatrical insights, highlighted the diverse lineup, noting contributions from acclaimed filmmakers Bong Joon-ho, Osgood Perkins, Ryan Coogler and Joseph Kosinski.
Looking further ahead, Gower Street’s chief analyst Thomas Beranek points to 2026 as a potential breakout year, citing a packed schedule featuring new installments of “Avengers,” “Spider-Man,” “Super Mario Bros.,” “Star Wars,” “Toy Story,” “Shrek,” and Christopher Nolan’s next project.
The analytics firm notes that these projections are preliminary and subject to change based on release calendar adjustments and unforeseen global events.