Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Erin Simkin
Commentary (Updated: April 18, 2024): The last two years have seen the supporting drama actor category at the Emmys dominated by just a few series. With eight nominees each year, only two or three shows have been represented, showing a limited range of viewing by the Television Academy’s members. Despite the expansive array of drama available, “The Crown” and “The Morning Show” are poised to dominate this category this year, potentially fielding multiple nominees each.
Currently, each show are taking up three slots. “The Crown” could land Jonathan Pryce (snubbed for last season), Khalid Abdalla and Salim Daw, who have been the highlights and talking points of the final season.
“Morning Show” has previous Emmy winner Billy Crudup, possible double Emmy nominee Jon Hamm (who also has “Fargo” in limited) and previous nominee Mark Duplass.
This raises the question: Is there room for actors from less represented series to break through?
Among those who might stand out are Nathan Lane from “The Gilded Age” and Benny Safdie from “The Curse.” Both actors have delivered noteworthy performances that distinguish them as top contenders to represent their respective shows. Additionally, actors like Jack Lowden of “Slow Horses,” Ke Huy Quan of “Loki,” and Benedict Wong from “3 Body Problem” also present strong cases. Each comes from a series that, while currently among the top eight contenders, offers an opportunity to disruput the usual suspects dominating the field.
Whether this year will see a shift towards a more inclusive array of nominees, and recognize more shows, remains an open and intriguing question.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.