Awards

Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor — Kieran Culkin Cements His Place as Frontrunner for ‘A Real Pain’

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.


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The Brutalist (2024)

Best Supporting Actor Commentary (Updated Dec. 5, 2024): While the Best Picture remains wide open, one category seems to be narrowing and already has a critical darling. Fresh off his critically acclaimed performance in “A Real Pain,” Kieran Culkin has emerged as a steamrolling candidate in the supporting actor race. His nuanced, deeply emotional turn has already earned him many accolades from major groups, and it’ll likely continue. That doesn’t mean it’s a done deal. Two-time Oscar winner Denzel Washington is commanding attention for his role in Ridley Scott’s “Gladiator II,” and breakout star Clarence Maclin, who won the Gotham prize for his powerful performance in the prison drama “Sing Sing” is still viable for significant recognition.

Let’s see what the Golden Globes will do.

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited artisans are not final and are subject to change.

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