Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUBRevisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVELink to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB
2022 SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS PREDICTIONS:
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
UPDATED: Nov 25, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: More to come…
Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.
Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
| AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RANK | ACTOR | FILM | ROLE | STUDIO |
| 1 | Ciarán Hinds | “Belfast” | Pop | Focus Features |
| 2 | J.K. Simmons | “Being the Ricardos” | William Frawley | Amazon Studios |
| 3 | Jamie Dornan | “Belfast” | Pa | Focus Features |
| 4 | Jared Leto | “House of Gucci” | Paolo Gucci | United Artists Releasing/MGM |
| 5 | Woody Norman | “C’mon C’mon” | Jesse | A24 |
| NEXT IN LINE | ||||
| 6 | Ben Affleck | “The Last Duel” | Count Pierre d’Alençon | 20th Century Studios |
| 7 | Kodi Smit-McPhee | “The Power of the Dog” | Peter Gordon | Netflix |
| 8 | Jeffrey Wright | “The French Dispatch” | Roebuck Wright | Searchlight Pictures |
| 9 | Idris Elba | “The Harder They Fall” | Rufus Buck | Netflix |
| 10 | Jesse Plemons | “The Power of the Dog” | George Burbank | Netflix |
| OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS | ||||
| 11 | Ben Affleck | “The Tender Bar” | Uncle Charlie Moehringer | Amazon Studios |
| 12 | Bradley Cooper | “Licorice Pizza” | Jon Peters | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| 13 | Willem Dafoe | “Nightmare Alley” | Clem Hoately | Searchlight Pictures |
| 14 | Jason Isaacs | “Mass” | Jay Perry | Bleecker Street |
| 15 | Troy Kotsur | “CODA” | Frank Rossi | Apple Original Films |
| 16 | Robin DeJesus | “Tick, Tick … Boom!” | Michael | Netflix |
| 17 | Richard Jenkins | “The Humans” | Erik Blake | A24/Showtime |
| 18 | Andrew Garfield | “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” | Jim Bakker | Searchlight Pictures |
| 19 | Corey Hawkins | “The Tragedy of Macbeth” | Macduff | Apple Original Films/A24 |
| 20 | Colman Domingo | “Zola” | Abegunde “X” Olawale | A24 |
| UNRANKED CONTENDERS | ||||
| — | Adrien Brody | “The French Dispatch” | Searchlight Pictures | |
| — | Al Pacino | “House of Gucci” | Aldo Gucci | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| — | Alexander Skarsgård | “Passing” | Netflix | |
| — | Ben Mendelsohn | “Cyrano” | United Artists Releasing/MGM | |
| — | Benedict Wong | “Nine Days” | Sony Pictures Classics | |
| — | Benicio del Toro | “The French Dispatch” | Moses Rosenthaler | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | Bill Murray | “The French Dispatch” | Searchlight Pictures | |
| — | Bradley Whitford | “Tick, Tick … Boom!” | Stephen Sondheim | Netflix |
| — | Christopher Lloyd | “The Tender Bar” | Grandpa Moehringer | Amazon Studios |
| — | Cillian Murphy | “A Quiet Place Part II” | Paramount Pictures | |
| — | Colin Firth | “Mothering Sunday” | Sony Pictures Classics | |
| — | Daniel Durant | “CODA” | Apple Original Films | |
| — | Daniel Ranieri | “The Tender Bar” | Amazon Studios | |
| — | David Alvarez | “West Side Story” | 20th Century Studios | |
| — | David Strathairn | “Nightmare Alley” | Pete Krumbein | Searchlight Pictures |
| — | Delroy Lindo | “The Harder They Fall” | Netflix | |
| — | Ed Harris | The Lost Daughter | Netflix | |
| — | Eugenio Derbez | “CODA” | Bernardo Villalobos | Apple Original Films |
| — | Forest Whitaker | “Respect” | United Artists Releasing/MGM | |
| — | Jason Mamoa | “Dune” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Jimmy Smits | “In the Heights” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Jon Bernthal | “King Richard” | Rick Macci | Warner Bros |
| — | Jonah Hill | “Don’t Look Up” | Jason Orlean | Netflix |
| — | Kelvin Harrison, Jr. | “Cyrano” | Christian | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| — | Kumail Nanjiani | “Eternals” | Marvel Studios | |
| — | Lakeith Stanfield | “The Harder They Fall” | Netflix | |
| — | Lil Rel Howery | “Free Guy” | 20th Century Studios | |
| — | Mark Rylance | “Don’t Look Up” | Peter Isherwell | Netflix |
| — | Mike Faist | “West Side Story” | 20th Century Studios | |
| — | Oscar Isaac | “Dune” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Paul Walter Hauser | “Cruella” | Disney Plus | |
| — | Rami Malek | “No Time to Die” | United Artists Releasing/MGM | |
| — | Reed Birney | “Mass” | Bleecker Street | |
| — | Richard Jenkins | “Nightmare Alley” | Searchlight Pictures | |
| — | Rob Morgan | “Don’t Look Up” | Netflix | |
| — | Simon Helberg | “Annette” | Amazon Studios | |
| — | Stephen McKinley Henderson | “Bruised” | Warner Bros | |
| — | Steven Yeun | “The Humans” | A24 | |
| — | Timothée Chalamet | “Don’t Look Up” | Netflix | |
| — | Timothée Chalamet | “The French Dispatch” | Searchlight Pictures | |
| — | Timothy Spall | “Spencer” | Neon | |
| — | Tony Hale | “Being the Ricardos” | Amazon Studios | |
| — | Tony Leung | “Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings” | Marvel Studios | |
| — | Tyler Perry | “Don’t Look Up” | Netflix | |
| — | Vincent D’Onofrio | “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” | Searchlight Pictures | |
| — | Vincent London | “Titane” | Neon | |
| — | Willem Dafoe | “The Card Counter” | Focus Features | |
2022 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
2021 Oscars predictions are here.
About the SAG Awards
The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most important and key indicators for the Oscars. Four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”
- The 28th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards®, presented by SAG-AFTRA with Screen Actors Guild Awards, LLC will be simulcast live on TNT and TBS on Sunday, Feb. 27, 2022, at 8 PM ET / 5 PM.