Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year's list of contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUBRevisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVELink to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB
2022 SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS PREDICTIONS:
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
UPDATED: Nov 25, 2021
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY: More to come…
Oscar nominations voting begins on Thursday, Jan. 27, 2022, and will end on Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. The official Academy Awards nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, with the ceremony taking place on Sunday, Mar. 27, 2022.
Awards Season Calendar (2021-2022)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
Courtesy of Amazon
| AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RANK | ACTOR | FILM | ROLE | STUDIO |
| 1 | Kristen Stewart | “Spencer” | Diana Spencer | Neon/Topic Studios |
| 2 | Nicole Kidman | “Being the Ricardos” | Lucielle Ball | Amazon Studios |
| 3 | Lady Gaga | “House of Gucci” | Patrizia Reggiani | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| 4 | Olivia Colman | “The Lost Daughter” | Leda Caruso | Netflix |
| 5 | Halle Berry | “Bruised” | jackie Justice | Netflix |
| NEXT IN LINE | ||||
| 6 | Penélope Cruz | “Parallel Mothers” | Janis | Sony Pictures Classics |
| 7 | Jennifer Hudson | “Respect” | Aretha Franklin | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| 8 | Jessica Chastain | “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” | Tammy Faye | Searchlight Pictures |
| 9 | Frances McDormand | “The Tragedy of Macbeth” | Lady Macbeth | Apple Original Films/A24 |
| 10 | Jodie Comer | “The Last Duel” | Marguerite de Carrouges | 20th Century Studios |
| OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS | ||||
| 11 | Tessa Thompson | “Passing” | Irene “Reenie” Redfield | Netflix |
| 12 | Alana Haim | “Licorice Pizza” | Alana Kane | MGM/United Artists Releasing |
| 13 | Rachel Zegler | “West Side Story” | Maria | 20th Century Studios |
| 14 | Jennifer Lawrence | “Don’t Look Up” | Kate Dibiasky | Netflix |
| 15 | Rooney Mara | “Nightmare Alley” | Molly Cahill | Searchlight Pictures |
| 16 | Emilia Jones | “CODA” | Ruby Rossi | Apple Original Films |
| 17 | Rachel Sennott | “Shiva Baby” | Danielle | Utopia |
| 18 | Vicky Krieps | “Bergman Island” | Chris Sanders | IFC Films |
| 19 | Helen Mirren | “The Duke” | Dorothy Bunton | Sony Pictures Classics |
| 20 | Scarlett Johansson | “Black Widow” | Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow: | Marvel Studios |
| UNRANKED LISTING | ||||
| — | Agatha Rousselle | “Titane” | Neon | |
| — | Chanté Adams | “A Journal for Jordan” | Sony Pictures | |
| — | Emma Stone | “Cruella” | Walt Disney Pictures | |
| — | Marion Cotillard | “Annette” | Amazon Studios | |
| — | Melissa McCarthy | “The Starling” | Netflix | |
| — | Natalie Morales | “Language Lessons” | Shout! Factory | |
| — | Odessa Young | “Mothering Sunday” | Sony Pictures Classics | |
| — | Renate Reinsve | “The Worst Person in the World” | Neon | |
| — | Sandra Bullock | “The Unforgivable” | Netflix | |
| — | Taylour Paige | “Zola” | A24 | |
| — | Thomasin McKenzie | “Last Night in Soho” | Focus Features | |
| — | Zazie Beetz | “The Harder They Fall” | Netflix | |
2022 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
2021 Oscars predictions are here.
About the SAG Awards
The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA, is an annual award show that has become one of the most important and key indicators for the Oscars. Four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”
- The 28th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards®, presented by SAG-AFTRA with Screen Actors Guild Awards, LLC will be simulcast live on TNT and TBS on Sunday, Feb. 27, 2022, at 8 PM ET / 5 PM.